It was reported today that if drivers cross the new Port Mann Bridge without a transponder, the toll rate will rise from the previously announced “around $3″ pricetag to $5.15 – one way. Apparently, the increase is a result of a “video-processing” fee to cover the cost of the elaborate overhead licence plate scanning system that will capture the information of all vehicles crossing the River. It’s not a particularly surprising move by the provincial goverment and is in fact a great incentive to encourage drivers to buy or rent a transponder, which will speeds things up for everyone. The 2009 Golden Ears Bridge has a similar system of flexible payment options with variable tolling rates. That said, there’s two elements to this story that I find rather interesting.
The first is the little detail hidden in the CBC’s coverage that states tolls will increase 2.5% each year. As far as I can recall, this has never been mentioned before and will catch a lot of people off guard. A toll is a tough pill to swallow as it is, and although the annual rate increase is minimal (it will take 13 years to go up by a dollar), if reported widely enough, it will be seen as another tax grab at the expense of the working class.
Secondly, I’m delighted to see how outraged people seem to be at the toll! I’ve long held the belief that Metro Vancouverites, when finally confronted with the monthly tolling bill, will balk at the expense and claim the sky is falling. We British Columbians like being drama queens. Although, truth be told, $3 one-way is a significant burden to bear. For a daily commuter between Surrey and Coqutilam (of which there are many I might add), they will be paying an extra $120 a month to get to work. This is on top of the perceived high insurance rates, high gas tax, carbon tax, expensive gas prices, and an undesirable commute.
I couldn’t find the direct quote, but when Kevin Falcon was Minister of Transportation, he once said something to the effect that commuters would gladly pay the toll in exchange for a smooth, traffic free drive. It is a simple proposition of opportunity costs. You either pay through delays and traffic or you pay through your wallet. Falcon bet that people’s time was worth paying for.
And I’m sure for many it is. There are most definitely people out there that have the money to pay their way out of inconveniences. These are the same people that hire Molly Maids to clean their houses or take taxis around downtown instead of walking. There’s nothing wrong with that. I just happen to believe that the majority of people, who are used to paying through congestion, are not going to take a toll lightly.
Commuters have adapted for years to traffic. It’s what humans do best – adapt to our circumstances. Maybe that means leaving home an extra 15 minutes to beat the traffic; maybe it means carpooling with another co-worker to hit the HOV lane; maybe it means hopping onto transit to avoid the gridlock.
Back in the mid 2000′s, commuters were fed up with the lineups along the Port Mann and were delighted to hear that, toll or not, the government was finally going to address one of their biggest needs and ease the bridge congestion. Taxpayers in the Valley were emotionally ecstatic, not taking the time to logically think about the tradeoffs. $3 billion dollars was being spent to speed up a 10-20 minute delay. It was going to be charging tolls both ways. There was no money being invested in viable transit alternatives in the meantime. For those who took pause, it was easy to see that this was not the panacea people assumed it to be.
For some, it will take the bridge’s completion and their first drive across for the reality to hit. For many others, it will come when the first bill arrives in the mail. Then I suspect people take a moment to reflect and have second thoughts about the entire project.
Just look at the Golden Ears Bridge. Long been planned by the region to meet projected demands, and pushed forward by former Surrey Mayor and TransLink Chair Doug McCallum, we spent $800 million on this crossing. Early statistics are showing demand is not meeting the projections, and TransLink is now trying to figure out ways to encourage more people to drive! Meanwhile, the Canada Line is bursting at the seams due to unwise contractual obligations and funding schemes inherent in the poorly worded public-private partnership signed with operator ProTransBC.
Could it be that we are more ready than we think to adopt rapid transit and ditch our cars? Could we be tired of the escalating costs, in both time and money, of the daily commute? Are we too locked into a pattern of inertia to ask ourselves these questions before we spend billions of dollars on megaprojects?
In December 2012, the new Port Mann Bridge will open and the tolls will begin. While its hard to comment on whether or not driving rates will increase, remain steady, or decrease, I do think that major cultural changes will reverberate through Metro Vancouver. I suspect that people will quickly become frustrated at the toll and will seek alternative forms of transport. I suspect that communities north and south of the Fraser will densify and become more self-sufficient as a market response to the increased costs of crossing the river. I suspect that commuters will not opt to take the rickety old Pattullo bridge as their untolled option. I suspect Valley taxpayers will demand regional tolling equity, forcing the government and TransLink to devise a new tolling policy. I suspect people will lament the boring cable-stayed design, the likes of which will make all the bridges along the Fraser look the same.
But of course, nobody can predict the future. If the early response is any indication though, it seems as though Falcon may have made the wrong bet.


